BUSINESS FEED

Financial experts give general investment advice

By LAURIE WINSLOW World Business Writer on Sep 15, 2013, at 2:33 AM  Updated on 9/15/13 at 3:41 AM


Photo Illustration by DAVE HOUSH / Tulsa World Jason Hardzewicz, a floor official and trader for Barclays, works at his post on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. "When we have a prolonged period of poor returns, people begin to panic and sell great American companies," said James K. "Skip" Nichols of the biggest challenges for small investors. Associated Press file

Finance

Banks seen at risk five years after Lehman collapse

Porat’s own bank almost vanished when hedge funds, spooked by difficulties getting money out of bankrupt Lehman Brothers, pulled more than $128 billion in two weeks from Morgan Stanley.

Chuck Jaffe: Mutual funds' five-year track records poised to soar

When it comes to catastrophes and disasters, anniversaries typically bring up bad memories.

CONTACT THE REPORTER

Laurie Winslow

918-581-8466
Email

Investors of all types - experienced, novice or those just thinking about dipping their toes into the stock market - have no shortage of questions when it comes to knowing how, when or where to start.

In conjunction with the annual Investment Guide, which appears as an insert in Sunday's newspaper, the Tulsa World asked a few of the financial professionals who participated in this year's guide to answer 10 general investing questions.

Area financial professionals give advice on how, when and where to start investing

What are some of the most important questions to ask a financial adviser or investment professional before hiring him or her?

What are your credentials (should be a certified financial planner or a chartered financial consultant)?

How long have you been in the financial services business? It is best to have someone with at least 10 years’ experience. That way they have lived through both good and bad markets.

How do you get paid? Ideally, it is best to work with an advisory fee person (they receive a small fee annually).

Ask for the name of 10 of his or her clients together with their phone numbers. Call three or four of them to find out if this person has continued to give them advice and service.

James K. “Skip” Nichols, Financial Planning Resources Inc.

How many clients do you work with who are similar to me and my personal circumstances or account size?

Can we go through your Form ADV and brochure disclosure that you are required to give me so that I may better understand you and your firm? If the adviser doesn’t want to, that is a red flag to go elsewhere.

Do some investments you recommend pay you more than others? If the answer is yes, go elsewhere.

If I work with you, will I have a limited number of investment choices? If so, who decides which investments are in the universe of choices? The point is to understand if the adviser is recommending only his firm’s proprietary investments, which typically are more expensive and may not be the best investment option.

Which client standard do you operate under: the suitability or fiduciary standard? If the suitability standard, how do you manage conflicts of interest if and when they arise? If the answer is not the fiduciary standard, go elsewhere.

Dan Safranek, Safranek & Associates

What is the biggest challenge for smaller investors in the stock market today?


Goddard
The biggest challenge for all investors is overcoming their own emotions.

It’s become even harder to remain calm in recent years because the financial crisis was so traumatic to people’s lives a few years ago.

No one wants to endure it again.

Keith Goddard, Capital Advisors Inc.

Human behavior tends toward greed or panic. After a prolonged period of good returns, many investors forget about caution and diversification. They began looking for those assets that have had the greatest returns (greed). An example is all the money flowing into tech stocks during the tech bubble in the late 1990s. When we have a prolonged period of poor returns, people begin to panic and sell great American companies (e.g. Coca-Cola, Wal-Mart Stores Inc., General Electric, etc.). Instead of scooping up these great companies at bargain prices, people sell for a loss.

James K. “Skip” Nichols, Financial Planning Resources Inc.

When are the best times to invest in bonds versus stocks? What do you see happening with bond interest rates in the near term?

Bond interest rates will probably go up over the next several years. In May, they were at an all-time low (the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond). The federal government has been keeping interest rates artificially low, and as the economy improves, those interest rates will start to go up. That can be both good and bad. The good part is you will begin earning higher rates return on your bonds that are purchased in the future. The bad part is that the current bonds you have will lose value.

James K. “Skip” Nichols, Financial Planning Resources Inc.

The best time to invest in bonds is when rates are high or stable. And interest rates currently are near all-time lows. My expectation is that economic growth is going to continue to be positive for the next several years. That being the case, interest rates should be moving higher from here. If you are a current investor in bonds, you would see gradual erosion in your principal because of that. For investors who have money that is going to be earmarked for bonds, the higher rate environment we’ll have over the next several years will be beneficial because they will be able to buy bonds with higher yields.

Jim Huntzinger, BOK Financial Corp.

The Federal Reserve is flirting with tapering off its bond-buying program, which has boosted the stock market. What will happen to the stock market as the Fed does that?

The Fed has done three rounds of quantitative easing. When they withdrew the first two programs, stocks dropped and bonds rallied, presumably as an expression of lower expectations for economic growth. Neither market fell apart, however. My best guess is that traders will mimic the playbook from the previous two episodes when the Fed tapers, but the impact on financial markets is probably not worth worrying about.

Keith Goddard, Capital Advisors Inc.

There is probably still some risk that the announcement regarding the Fed’s tapering their bond–buying program could negatively influence the equity market in the short run. But I think in the long term we’re all better off having the Federal Reserve out of our bond market. .... I think that it’s better for our markets when they are more freely able to trade without the inclusion of the Federal Reserve taking so many securities out of the market.

Jim Huntzinger, BOK Financial Corp.

What are the most essential factors a person should look at when buying either individual stocks or mutual funds?

There are many ways to approach this, but I prefer to look at the underlying cash flows and economic profits that a company is generating. Earnings figures can be manipulated, so cash flow tends to be a better reflection of how a company is truly performing. Economic profit considers how a company is reinvesting the cash it generates through its operations — does management choose new projects with returns that exceed the company’s cost of capital? If so, they are creating economic profits and value for shareholders.

Andrew Boyd, Gibraltar Capital Management

When evaluating any equity investment, whether individual stock or mutual funds, first determine why you are investing, such as current income, growth for future income source, or a combination of the two. Secondly, define the time horizon of the investment — short, intermediate or long. The longer the time horizon, the more aggressive you can be because you have more time to recover from the volatility that is a natural part of the investment process. Conversely, if the time horizon is short to intermediate, a less aggressive focus on dividends and balanced funds may be the appropriate choice.

Be brutally honest up front about how you’ll react to a 20 percent or 30 percent drop in the value of investments held because there will be a day when those declines will become reality.

Brian Smith, CastleRock Financial Advisors, Collinsville

What exactly is the P/E ratio and how important is that when deciding whether to buy a specific stock?


Smith
P/E ratio is a measure of relative value compared to other stocks or to the market as a whole (P: price, E: earnings). If Company A earns $15 per share, and is trading for a price of $100, it has a P/E ratio of 15. Company B may have earnings of $8 per share and is trading at $100, for a P/E ratio of 8. We now have a measure of relative value of Company A to Company B. ... While an important component of stock evaluation, it is only a small part of the full fundamental research that needs to be completed prior to final selection.

Brian Smith, CastleRock Financial Advisors

What costs or fees are associated with buying stocks or selecting mutual funds?

The commission costs associated with the purchase for individual stocks have come down dramatically over the last 15 years. So it’s relatively inexpensive today to purchase stocks. Mutual funds are priced in different ways. If you’re receiving advice to purchase the fund, then typically it will come with a “load” — that’s a sales charge or sales load in order to compensate the person you’re receiving the advice from. Or, you can buy funds that are “no-load funds,” which do not come with any sales charge, but you’re doing the research on your own.

Jim Huntzinger, BOK Financial Corp.

Today with the popularity of 401(k)s, employees are more responsible than ever for deciding how to invest for retirement, which can be daunting. How does one even begin to know what type of funds to select or investment strategies to make?

The general rule is for younger people to invest the majority of their portfolio in stocks and gradually transition to bonds as they get closer to retirement age, although each individual should consider their specific circumstances (age, time horizon, risk tolerance, return objectives, etc). Most 401(k) plans offer Target Retirement Funds, which are a simple way to maintain a balanced, diversified portfolio. These funds allow you to pick a fund dated around when you expect to retire. As that target date approaches, the fund will shift from a more aggressive (stocks) to a more conservative (bonds and cash) position.

Andrew Boyd, Gibraltar Capital Management

Investment professionals always talk about the importance of being diversified. How does one go about doing that in today’s volatile market?

One way of diversifying is to buy funds rather than individual securities. If you buy a fund, you’re diversified across a host of stocks or bonds. If you buy an individual security, you’re clearly focused on just one company or one bond.

Jim Huntzinger, BOK Financial Corp.

There are many low-cost ETFs (exchange traded funds) and mutual funds that offer investors access to practically every asset class in existence — stocks, bonds, domestic, international, large cap, small cap, etc. These investment vehicles provide a cheap, easy way to build a diversified portfolio. The exact makeup of your portfolio should be based upon your particular circumstances.

Andrew Boyd, Gibraltar Capital Management

What is the most invaluable investment advice you’ve received in your lifetime?


Boyd
Know what you own and why you own it. For an individual stock, this means having an understanding of how that company makes money and creating a thesis for why you believe it is a good investment. In the case of a mutual fund, it is practically impossible to be an expert on every holding within the fund. However, understanding the strategy behind the fund and how the portfolio manager makes investment decisions is important when selecting a fund that fits your investment needs.

Andrew Boyd, Gibraltar Capital Management

Thoroughly know the investments you make and understand concretely how you will make money. A lot of people get starstruck by the complexity of an investment. They tend to equate complexity with sophistication; sophistication with expertise; and expertise with “can’t-losemoney” attitude. If you can’t explain what you are investing in to your mother so that she can understand it, than you probably shouldn’t be making the investment.

Dan Safranek, Safranek & Associates

Original Print Headline: Money tree
Finance

Banks seen at risk five years after Lehman collapse

Porat’s own bank almost vanished when hedge funds, spooked by difficulties getting money out of bankrupt Lehman Brothers, pulled more than $128 billion in two weeks from Morgan Stanley.

Chuck Jaffe: Mutual funds' five-year track records poised to soar

When it comes to catastrophes and disasters, anniversaries typically bring up bad memories.

CONTACT THE REPORTER

Laurie Winslow

918-581-8466
Email

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