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Bassmaster 2013: The way-too-early weather forecast
Published: 1/25/2013 10:25 AM
Last Modified: 1/25/2013 10:25 AM

The Super Bowl of Bass Fishing, the Bassmaster Classic, comes to Grand Lake and Tulsa Feb. 22-24.

You can read more on this event, including articles, background and more on our Tulsa World page here.

Since we're now about a month away from this premiere fishing event, I can assure you that it is still far too early to know exactly what our weather conditions will be then.

But, we can guess based on historical and current information:

Grand Lake

"Grand Lake is full," wrote Oklahoma Climatological Survey associate state climatologist Gary McManus. "So it will probably still be good at that time."

"Full" means to the top of the conservation pool, which is considered the
"normal" elevation. Above that, it is the flood pool, McManus said.

Average Feb. 22-24 temperatures for Spavinaw:
High: 55-56 degrees
Low: 32-33 degrees

The normal rainfall is about 0.1 of an inch each day, which McManus said is pretty low.

Like Tulsa, the Grand Lake is also in the midst of a nearly two-week streak of having less than 0.25 of an inch of rain, according to the Oklahoma Mesonet.

Tulsa

After about a 70-mile drive from Grand Lake (see map to the right), you'll be weighing the fish in Tulsa. Here's the weather you can expect here, based on 30-year averages from 1980-2010:

High: 55-56 degrees
Low: 33-34 degrees
Rain: 0.07 of an inch daily

Don't expect it to be too different from that. Here are our records for Feb. 22-24:
High: 66-70 degrees
Low: 13-22 degrees

If you want worse-case scenario, the most rain we've had on any of those dates was 2.99 inches of rain on Feb. 22, 1985 and 7 inches of snow on Feb. 23, 2003.

But once again, this is the way-too-early forecast, and those aren't even our normals.

Happy fishing!

--Althea Peterson

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Almanac

Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun
Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec

	Temperature		Precipitation
Date	High Temp	Low Temp	Total	Month to date	Historical average
1	44°	16°	0	0.00	0.05
2	59°	24°	0	0.00	0.11
3	57°	33°	0	0.00	0.16
4	68°	37°	Trace	0.00	0.21
5	69°	29°	0	0.00	0.26
6	66°	33°	0	0.00	0.32
7	59°	38°	0.05	0.05	0.38
8	51°	34°	0	0.05	0.44
9	44°	36°	0.01	0.06	0.51
10	62°	37°	0.07	0.13	0.57
11	54°	28°	0	0.13	0.64
12	44°	30°	0.25	0.38	0.70
13	55°	40°	0.01	0.39	0.76
14	°	°			0.83
15	°	°			0.89
16	°	°			0.95
17	°	°			1.02
18	°	°			1.09
19	°	°			1.16
20	°	°			1.23
21	°	°			1.31
22	°	°			1.38
23	°	°			1.46
24	°	°			1.53
25	°	°			1.61
26	°	°			1.69
27	°	°			1.77
28	°	°			1.85

TEMPERATURE

RAINFALL

SNOWFALL

Weather World

Follow Jerry Wofford on Twitter for updates during severe weather conditions.

Tulsa weather milestones of 2013 (as of Feb. 12)

Highest temperature: 70 on Jan. 11 (Record: 115 on Aug. 15, 1936)
Lowest temperature: 15 on Jan. 16 (Record: Minus-16 on Jan. 22, 1930)
Hottest month (average): 40.5 degrees in January (Record: 91.7 degrees on July 1980)
Coldest month (average): 40. 5 degrees in January (Record: 21.7 in January 1918)
Most snowfall (day): 0.1 of an inch on Feb. 12(Record: 13.2 inches on Feb. 1, 2011)
Most snowfall (month): 0.1 of an inch in February(Record: 22.5 inches in February 2011)
Most rainfall (day): 0.91 of an inch on Jan. 29 (Record: 9.27 inches on May 26-27, 1984)
Most rainfall (month): 1.54 of an inch in January (Record: 18.18 inches on September 1971)
Highest wind speed: 30 mph on Jan. 30
Previous day with any rain: Feb. 12
Previous day with 1 inch or more of rain: Oct. 17, 2012
Previous day with any snow: Feb. 12
Previous day with freezing temperatures: Feb. 12
Read regular updates on Oklahoma's unpredictable weather and learn more about meteorology from the Tulsa office of the National Weather Service.

>> Visit the main weather page
>> Send us your weather photos
>> Meet the forecasters

Contributors
Staff Writer Althea Peterson started writing for the Tulsa World in March 2007 after previous stops at the Norman Transcript in 2006 and the Oklahoma Gazette in 2005. She followed her older brother from rural Wisconsin (with a public school that never seemed to call snow days) to the University of Oklahoma, but did not follow his pursuit to study meteorology. However, she tries to find as many opportunities to report on the weather as possible.

Staff Writer Jerry Wofford came to the Tulsa World in 2010 from The Manhattan Mercury in Manhattan, Kan. Originally from western Arkansas and a graduate of the University of Oklahoma, Jerry has lived in Tornado Alley his entire life and is one of those people who goes outside when the sirens go off.

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