News - Blogs - Your guesses are in now we wait for snow

Your guesses are in, now we wait for snow
Published: 12/11/2012 6:21 PM
Last Modified: 12/11/2012 6:21 PM

The window for entries to Snowmageddon or nothing? You decide: The first Weather World snowfall contest is now over, and I am very pleasantly surprised by the involvement.

I was hoping for about 30 people, and that’s including people I stood over and forced to enter. But, we had 82 people submit their guess for how much snow will fall in Tulsa.

So what do these guesses tell us? That most of you aren’t expecting a blow out. Here are some stats.

The average of all 82 guesses is 8.05 inches.

The lowest guess was 0.7 inches.

The highest was 28 (I actually emailed that person back to make sure they didn’t mean 2.8. No, 28 inches of snow was the intended, sadistic, record-breaking guess. Now we know who to blame when we get 28 inches of snow).

Three people guessed 8.4 inches, the most common guess.

Three people have also already guessed we would have snowfall. Sorry, folks. You missed that one.

Thirty people think we’ll get snow this month. Most people, 36, guessed it would be in January.

The latest guess for the first snow was March 2, which is not that crazy. We had a trace this year, and 5.7 inches in 2010. The average March has 2.1 inches.

Three kids from Jenks West Elementary who entered guessed we would have a white Christmas!

So, what are the snow chances looking like now? Well, not good, despite the cold snap we had and the snow that fell in central Oklahoma last weekend. The forecast from our friends at the National Weather Service in Tulsa calls for a 50 percent chance of rain Friday night. Temps are forecast to be in the upper 40s, so snow is not likely. The next chance is early next week, but again, temps looks now like they will keep snow chances out of the picture.

The long-term outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center don’t give us much chance, either. We have a good chance for above-average temperatures and below-average precipitation over the next two weeks. That would include Christmas Day. Sad face.

I want to thank everyone who entered our first contest. It will be fun to follow along as we get blizzard after blizzard and the snow piles up to our knees.

Stick with us here as we update when the snow falls.

--Jerry Wofford

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Almanac

Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun
Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec

	Temperature		Precipitation
Date	High Temp	Low Temp	Total	Month to date	Historical average
1	44°	16°	0	0.00	0.05
2	59°	24°	0	0.00	0.11
3	57°	33°	0	0.00	0.16
4	68°	37°	Trace	0.00	0.21
5	69°	29°	0	0.00	0.26
6	66°	33°	0	0.00	0.32
7	59°	38°	0.05	0.05	0.38
8	51°	34°	0	0.05	0.44
9	44°	36°	0.01	0.06	0.51
10	62°	37°	0.07	0.13	0.57
11	54°	28°	0	0.13	0.64
12	44°	30°	0.25	0.38	0.70
13	55°	40°	0.01	0.39	0.76
14	°	°			0.83
15	°	°			0.89
16	°	°			0.95
17	°	°			1.02
18	°	°			1.09
19	°	°			1.16
20	°	°			1.23
21	°	°			1.31
22	°	°			1.38
23	°	°			1.46
24	°	°			1.53
25	°	°			1.61
26	°	°			1.69
27	°	°			1.77
28	°	°			1.85

TEMPERATURE

RAINFALL

SNOWFALL

Weather World

Follow Jerry Wofford on Twitter for updates during severe weather conditions.

Tulsa weather milestones of 2013 (as of Feb. 12)

Highest temperature: 70 on Jan. 11 (Record: 115 on Aug. 15, 1936)
Lowest temperature: 15 on Jan. 16 (Record: Minus-16 on Jan. 22, 1930)
Hottest month (average): 40.5 degrees in January (Record: 91.7 degrees on July 1980)
Coldest month (average): 40. 5 degrees in January (Record: 21.7 in January 1918)
Most snowfall (day): 0.1 of an inch on Feb. 12(Record: 13.2 inches on Feb. 1, 2011)
Most snowfall (month): 0.1 of an inch in February(Record: 22.5 inches in February 2011)
Most rainfall (day): 0.91 of an inch on Jan. 29 (Record: 9.27 inches on May 26-27, 1984)
Most rainfall (month): 1.54 of an inch in January (Record: 18.18 inches on September 1971)
Highest wind speed: 30 mph on Jan. 30
Previous day with any rain: Feb. 12
Previous day with 1 inch or more of rain: Oct. 17, 2012
Previous day with any snow: Feb. 12
Previous day with freezing temperatures: Feb. 12
Read regular updates on Oklahoma's unpredictable weather and learn more about meteorology from the Tulsa office of the National Weather Service.

>> Visit the main weather page
>> Send us your weather photos
>> Meet the forecasters

Contributors
Staff Writer Althea Peterson started writing for the Tulsa World in March 2007 after previous stops at the Norman Transcript in 2006 and the Oklahoma Gazette in 2005. She followed her older brother from rural Wisconsin (with a public school that never seemed to call snow days) to the University of Oklahoma, but did not follow his pursuit to study meteorology. However, she tries to find as many opportunities to report on the weather as possible.

Staff Writer Jerry Wofford came to the Tulsa World in 2010 from The Manhattan Mercury in Manhattan, Kan. Originally from western Arkansas and a graduate of the University of Oklahoma, Jerry has lived in Tornado Alley his entire life and is one of those people who goes outside when the sirens go off.

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