By JERRY WOFFORD Staff Writer on Dec 11, 2012, at 6:21 PM Updated on 12/11 at 6:21 PM
WEATHER WORLD
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The window for entries to Snowmageddon or nothing? You decide: The first Weather World
snowfall contest is now over, and I am very pleasantly surprised by the involvement.
I was hoping for about 30 people, and that’s including people I stood over and forced to enter. But, we had 82 people submit their guess for how much snow will fall in Tulsa.
So what do these guesses tell us? That most of you aren’t expecting a blow out. Here are some stats.
- The average of all 82 guesses is 8.05 inches.
- The lowest guess was 0.7 inches.
- The highest was 28 (I actually emailed that person back to make sure they didn’t mean 2.8. No, 28 inches of snow was the intended, sadistic, record-breaking guess. Now we know who to blame when we get 28 inches of snow).
- Three people guessed 8.4 inches, the most common guess.
- Three people have also already guessed we would have snowfall. Sorry, folks. You missed that one.
- Thirty people think we’ll get snow this month. Most people, 36, guessed it would be in January.
- The latest guess for the first snow was March 2, which is not that crazy. We had a trace this year, and 5.7 inches in 2010. The average March has 2.1 inches.
- Three kids from Jenks West Elementary who entered guessed we would have a white Christmas!
So, what are the snow chances looking like now? Well,
not good, despite the cold snap we had and the snow that fell in central Oklahoma last weekend. The forecast from our friends at the National Weather Service in Tulsa calls for a 50 percent chance of rain Friday night. Temps are forecast to be in the upper 40s, so snow is not likely. The next chance is early next week, but again, temps looks now like they will keep snow chances out of the picture.
The long-term outlooks from the
Climate Prediction Center don’t give us much chance, either. We have a good chance for above-average temperatures and below-average precipitation over the next two weeks. That would include Christmas Day. Sad face.
I want to thank everyone who entered our first contest. It will be fun to follow along as we get blizzard after blizzard and the snow piles up to our knees.
Stick with us here as we update when the snow falls.
--Jerry Wofford
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