My only disagreement is that since sports games are unpredictable, Vegas does want 50% of the money on each side IN SOME GAMES each week. In my opinion, they trap you on some games, and take the juice on others.
If a person lives in Vegas and wants to bet on football for a living (or any other sport for that matter), then he has to smell out the trap games. Otherwise, he'll have to find a couple of good teams each week that have good line value (overrated and underrated teams, etc...).
The game is going to be played in warm weather. Advantage Indy.
The Bears' QB has played well lately. Advantage Bears.
The Bears' QB has played well lately, and thus is due to blow up. Advantage Indy.
The Bears have the better big play defense and special teams.
Indy has by far the better QB.
Indy has the more seasoned coach.
The Chicago defense would make the 7 points seem good, so for that reason the line scares me. Right now, I'll take Indy and lay the TD. I'm betting on the resurgent Colts' defense picking off Grossman a few times. As long as Peyton's thumb isn't too bad, they should score some points.
