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Mighty Number One Sooners Only Favored 21 Over Little TU!
Published: 8/16/2011 3:54 PM
Last Modified: 8/16/2011 3:54 PM

It's officially football season: the point spreads are out!

According to the Vegas Insider, the biggest surprise is that the best team in football, OU, is only favored by 21 over TU and its new coach --in Norman.

What this number suggests is that the TU offense will hang some numbers on the questionable OU defense.

The number will probably tick up a couple given OU's automatic support nationwide. But the number says it's a classic look-ahead game for the Sooners, and that TU has a chance.

Other fascinating propositions are:

TCU -6 1/2 at Baylor.
Houston -3 1/2 at home with UCLA.
BYU -2 1/2 at Mississippi.
Boise State -3 versus Georgia in Atlanta.
Oregon -1 versus LSU in Dallas.

TU can hold its head high at least before the game starts.



Reader Comments 36 Total

huricandeoro (last year)
I think the spread for the TU/OSU game was 7 last year so I don't think vegas has much credibility around here.
Atticus (last year)
Pick:
Better start worrying Pick. On Travis Lewis' facebook page, the Sooner Stud says that he will be back (better than ever) for the Florida State Game.
catch&release (last year)
Thanks for the tip, easy money with OU.
LaffALot (last year)
TCU is Baylor’s Bowl game,
U ‘thunk the Bears & All-Star QB Griffin
could hang w/n 6 @ home against a rebuilt TCU squad

IF Houston beats UCLA,
they could easily playing for a BCS Bowl
& the Conf Championship when they play
Tulsa here the day after Turkey Day.

Will coach Mark Richt of Georgia
be fired on the spot if he looses to Boise?

No one can sell a lame duck program
better than Houston (Herb Tarlek) Nutt
Dawg safety’s & corner's will be
on the heels all afternoon against them Mormons

In the real world, A tiger would eat the duck
Can “Let’s guess” Les try
& run & chew up the clock
to stop them ducks air attack?

It’s not whether TU can score on OU
It’s how often TU’s “D” stops OU
                    
PostThis (last year)
NoLaffs...Umm, what does all this have to do with UO-UT?

Just like last season, if you are going to post long unfunny "pick" posts, at least pick something.
Dr. Strangelove (last year)
Hard to say, but the spread seems about right. Covering three touchdowns is a beating in my book.
Soonertrain (last year)
Not easy money with OU. You don't bet on the 1st weekend anyway, but if I did it would be Boise. They'll hurt Georgia.
Soonertrain (last year)
and..... Baylor's Griffin lost his favorite receiver this week. TCU will probably Grind Baylor. Again, though, I wouldn't touch any game except Boise.
love 918 (last year)
You really think Boise will "hurt" Georgia?

The SEC is not sandlot, blue-turf Idaho football. Since 2001, all of Boise's trips to the Southeast have ended in blowouts.

Sounds like you're still upset from the time Boise embarrassed the underprepared Sooners.

Boise will experience a new pain when they play Georgia football. Their only hope is that the game is in Atlanta and not Athens. The Georgia Dome has 20,000 fewer seats than the bulldogs home stadium.
                    
Soonertrain (last year)
By 10. See my post below, you big, bad bullfrog.
                    
Soonertrain (last year)
SEC must be a little sandlot like my grandson plays in. R U upset... Awwww.......unprepared?
                    
Soonertrain (last year)
YES. U UPSET NOW???
zeblon (last year)
can't the world find non-partisan picker.
Lman (last year)
Only takes 1-to win. One or one hundred, a win counts as a win doesn't have to be a blow-out.
The Picker (last year)
Atticus: It's not the defense you need to worry about, it's the qb passing some to the wrong color.

How can Oregon be favored a point over Loopy Les?
MexiMike (last year)
"How can Oregon be favored a point over Loopy Les?"

Exactly! How has nobody found an issue with this spread? In Dallas no less!

If anyone should be favored, it should be LSU and their ridiculous defense. Neither team's QB is exceptional at throwing the ball.

I expect to see a game somewhat like last year's MNC. LSU will shut down Oregon's run game with a dominating front seven and wear down the Ducks' defense with ground and pound and a scrambling, athletic QB.
The Picker (last year)
Mike, the only possible problem is LSU's quarterback can't throw one through the goal posts from the ten.
                    
MexiMike (last year)
Agreed, but I don't think the Oregon QB is all that special either. Both QBs seem better equipped to win with their athleticism rather than their arms.

Even if the Oregon QB gets a slight edge, I still think LSU should be the favorite in that game. If I were a betting man, I'd definitely take them outright.
Soonertrain (last year)
Georgia football? Bigtime huh. When? Herschel days? Read something about your team. See you back here after Boise covers the spread.'does't have anything to
Do
With the Fiesta bowl 4 or 5 years ago. They beat us with 3 improbable, but beautiful trick plays. What's that got to do with Mark Ric's last season and who cares how you spell his name?
whereintheworld (last year)
TU returns 10 starters on offense and 8 on defense from a squad which has won 7 straight including 3 on the road against teams receiving votes in most all top-25 polls. TU beat the spread in 5 or 6 of those wins.

For the TU game, OU will have 8 or 9 new starters on defense (a couple of them got a couple starts due to injury and alignment changes).
DE Beal - graduated (Replacement DE R. Lewis might be ineligibile)
DT McGee - no longer a starter
DT Taylor - graduated
DE Alexander - Returning part-time starter
Jefferson - Returning part-time starter
T. Lewis - OUT injured
Box - R.I.P.
Fleming - no longer a starter
Nelson - graduated
Carter - graduated
Hurst - Returning starter

With that many new starters, chemistry will be an issue. They have guys with experience but how will they gel while T. Lewis is out?

OU returns 9 starters on offense so the offense should be good if the RB-core can replace Murray and the o-line can learn to block (OU averaged about 3ypc last year, and ran poorly against some pitiful defenses).

This is all just pointing out why the spread is *only* 21. Common logic would indicate they will beat TU by more than 21 points, regardless of how many new starters. Vegas odds usually consider returning starters and who they beat by how much recently.
Soonertrain (last year)
Wow. Cory Nelson (So.) is going to be shocked to have his diploma 2 years ahead of time. Jamell Fleming may be the best player on D. He's listed 2nd team because he missed Spring and Gabe Lynn has looked so good. He will be on the field. They have 7 returners, but some are in the fight of their lives because of incoming Frosh. Goodness. All I was saying is TU is good enough to be overlooked.... the Pick's original point. Whoa...
                    
whereintheworld (last year)
Hey Soonertrain, do you remember "Jonathan Nelson"????

He was a DB and started at SS for OU. He was kind of a star back there and was drafted by the Rams.
                    
whereintheworld (last year)
Hey Soonertrain, do you remember DB Jonathan Nelson?
He was drafted by the St Louis Rams in April.
He started SS for OU last year ALL year and in previous seasons.
Atticus (last year)
Pick:
Take a look at Landry's numbers four the last four gams last year--No QB played any better.
Atticus (last year)
Pick:
Take a look at Landry's numbers for the last four games last year--No QB played any better.
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The Picker began entertaining – and infuriating – sports fans in 1993. Each week during football season, he writes about his picks of college and NFL games in his Thursday Sports column. He's never afraid of sharing his opinions about the game and the personalities who play it. Readers have a chance to go against him each season in the Outpick the Picker contest. He welcomes the competition.

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