READ TODAY'S STORIES AND E-EDITION SUBSCRIBE |  CONTACT US |  SIGN IN
Sports Extra!



SPORTS EXTRA BLOGS

FOR THE RECORD
LOCAL PROS

ALL SPORTS

PHOTOS & VIDEOS

OUTDOORS

FIND A STORY

EMAIL ALERTS

SOCIAL MEDIA

RSS FEEDS

CONTACT US
BUY PHOTOS & PAGES

ADVERTISE ON SPORTS EXTRA


Print story only Print story with comments Email Twitter Facebook Pinterest
Ten for Texas
Published: 10/8/2008 4:10 PM
Last Modified: 10/8/2008 4:10 PM

With the stock market having almost crashed, here are ten reasons for taking the Longhorns plus the seven or so points, in Las Vegas, where such investing is legal.

10. Bradford is susceptible to the blitz.
9. OU forgets to throw to the tight end.
8. OU scores too quickly and puts its defense on the field too much.
7. The run game is a little off (see above).
6. Texas is physical.
5. OU's kicking game is erratic.
4. OU is ranked number one.
3. Texas features a running quarterback.
2. OU's cornerbacks can be taken.
1. OU has not been tested.

Here is the reason to choose OU by more than the seven.

1. Texas might stink a little.




Reader Comments 25 Total

Robert (4 years ago)
Real nice analysis there, Jay. Could have at least made it funny. Do you get paid for this?
dean (4 years ago)
As a Longhorn I regret to say this, but the other reason for picking OU is Mack Brown.
Tom (4 years ago)
All things being equal in your evaluation (which I think is about right) one would have to consider the "Mack Brown Factor" which means doing something really stupid to hurt your team and that puts another point in the equation. No one would give 8 on this game. Some are at 6.
Bill (4 years ago)
Where is old smart Cyco Myko at?? He always talks down to people on this blog that don't agree with his expert opinion of OU, but I see where he wrote on another blog he knows nothing about Bud Wilkerson and OU"s football history!! Guess he just jumped on the old bandwagon!!!
DAN the MAN (4 years ago)
REASON for taking OU (-6 1/2) is like Tom said, "The Mac Brown Factor", he will do something stupid and by the way, STOOPS just owns BROWN. BOOMER SOONER!!!!
User Name TBD (4 years ago)
Bill, Cyco Myko is a USC fan. Pay attention. He just posts about OU because that's all the picker ever talks about. And he tries to point out everything he thinks the picker is wrong about. Just so turns out that it means a lot of Myko's posts tend to be pro-OU. That's because so many Picker items are anti-OU.

Picker,

Show proof of #10. Name one game where he was taken out after being hit throwing the ball.
Find stats to back up #9.
#8 is a problem? Didn't know scoring (quick or slow) was ever a problem of any kind.
#7-#3 are fine. You can have those. But...
#2 - they haven't been yet. Not once this season.
#1 - Neither has Texas.

Nice try. Your "service" give you that as reasons why to lay your money on Texas? If they did, you need to get your money back, because half of those are worthless, and the other half won't be enough of a reason as to why OU will lose. The only team that can beat OU is OU.
Wsmith (4 years ago)
Picker...stop it. You're making me nervous. Can't you just allow us OU junkies to wallow in our positive, possibly delusional thought patterns for another 48 hours? All kidding aside, your projection of the game seems to make more sense than the seven-spot Vegas has issued. Through the years, this game has been a close one, more often than not, regardless of talent, injuries, or betting line. Texas would appear to be more motivated this year for a couple of reasons and considering Oklahoma's porous special teams on kickoffs, their philanthropic defensive secondary, and pedestrian running game, OU fans have every right to start drinking early on Saturday (i.e. about 15 minutes before kickoff). If anything, Sam Bradford's footwork appears to have improved this season; he moves into, around in, and out of the pocket more fluidly to elude defenders. Bottom line? It's time for "big game Bob" to either earn that epithet or lose it.
Chris (4 years ago)
User Name,

In response to your question about #10.

Iowa State, Colorado (didn't play well when offense was getting blitzed). And of course, his concussion at Tech. Also, West Virginia.

Bradford is a good QB and OU will win by about 17 this weekend, but last season, Bradford couldn't handle the pressure put on once a defense got through OU's monster O-Line.
Eric (4 years ago)
Ill give you some other reasons OU covers that spread

1) Stoops owns Brown
2) Texas is 96th in pass defense
3) Texas is 96th in pass defense and who have they played?
4) OU averages 50 pts and Texas is 96th in pass defense
5) OU has only allowed 3 pts in the first quarter all year
6) OU has shut the engines down after the first quarter in every game
7) We have a better run game
8) McCoy is leading rusher for Longhorns and is going to get pounded
9) Because I have the deed to my house on it and if we dont cover the loan shark wont said he wont use a rubber glove or lube when inserting the horn of a longhorn up my rear.
Eric (4 years ago)
Ill give you some other reasons OU covers that spread

1) Stoops owns Brown
2) Texas is 96th in pass defense
3) Texas is 96th in pass defense and who have they played?
4) OU averages 50 pts and Texas is 96th in pass defense
5) OU has only allowed 3 pts in the first quarter all year
6) OU has shut the engines down after the first quarter in every game
7) We have a better run game
8) McCoy is leading rusher for Longhorns and is going to get pounded
9) Because I have the deed to my house on it and if we dont cover the loan shark wont said he wont use a rubber glove or lube when inserting the horn of a longhorn up my rear.
User Name TBD (4 years ago)
Chris...

Blame Reggie Smith for the loss at CU, along with an apathetic defense in the 4th quarter. Blame Kevin Wilson for the play calling and WRs and RBs for dropping passes and fumbling balls against ISU. ISU doesn't even know what a blitz is. AND ONCE AND FOR ALL, BRADFORD WAS INJURED AGAINST TECH WHILE TRYING TO TACKLE A DL AFTER AN ALLEN PATRICK FUMBLE. HE WAS NOT HIT DURING ANY PASS ATTEMPTS!!!

You can blame Sam Bradford for WVU all you want, but he didn't allow 48 points, and he wasn't on the field when no one could tackle the FB.

As far as THIS YEAR is concerned (because it's THIS YEAR'S teams playing the games) Bradford has shown improvement in all areas, including pocket presence and throwing on the run. He was hit by Washington and still threw TDs (first two TDs he was hit on - once from a blitz, second on a roll out - and no one questioned his toughness in that game). He was faced with pressure all day by Cincinnati and TCU. NOW you all dismiss them as no good, but the only team each has lost to is OU, and before each game people were asking how Bradford would hold up to such good defenses. After he torches them both, people say those D's weren't very good after all. How about giving Bradford some of the credit for that?

And let's get something else straight...Colt McCoy had an abysmal Sophmore year, and now that they've played nobodies (just like OU) people think he's somehow better than Bradford in holding up to pressure. Texas has a whole TWO (2) more sack this year than does OU. Why isn't anyone esle questioning if McCoy can hold up to OU's pressure?

Bradford being soft is way, waaaa-aaaay overblown by the Picker, and it is the only thing he can grasp at as to how to beat a good QB. Bottom line, you can say in ANY game that it hinges on how the QB handles the pressure from the D. Based on what I've seen in person the last two years, I have no doubts OU's QB will have to face it no more than Texas' will. If the argument is special teams, fine. That's definitely an area OU is weak and vulnerable. For my money, that will have an even greater affect on the game than will the play of either offense, including the QBs. If OU is solid there, they win. If they are scitzophrenic, UT has a real shot to win.

Everyone should remember no game in the last 10 years has been decided by less than 7 points. In fact, last year's score was the closest of the Stoops-Brown games. Seems to me like 7 is low.
WSmith (4 years ago)
Eric, besides being a tad repetitive (you mentioned Texas being 96th in pass D in three of your nine points) you make a good argument. Regarding your point number three...Tx has played Colorado and obliterated them in Boulder (remember OU's trip last season?); regarding point number 4 - yeah, OU's averaging 50 per, but Texas is averaging 47; regarding point 6 - I've watched every OU game this year and I never had the impression that OU voluntarily 'shut the engines down;' the other team just might have had something to do with it. I agree whole-heartedly with points 1, 2, & 8, and number 9 cannot be argued with. Thanks for an entertaining comment!
World Picker (4 years ago)
With the stock market having fallen, everybody certain that OU minus 7 is a sure thing can look forward to a happy windfall in Vegas.

Here's something to keep an eye on, number 2 for Texas, a combination linebacker corner hitting machine. Some hits seem a little on the late side, but this guy looks dangerous.
Eric (4 years ago)
WSmith it was meant to be repetitive....just wanting to emphasize the point. Yes I do remember colorado last year...and I remember Texas losing to Kansas State at home last year....so what? Two totally different seasons. Colorado will be lucky to make a bowl this year and it certainly didnt help that they had three starting offensive linemen out which allowed texas to pummel Hawkins at will (i certianly didnt mind seeing that though). Its hard to believe that you didnt notice a change in play calling philosphy after the first quarter...looked pretty vanilla to me...(TCU...run run pass...run run pass).
Chris (4 years ago)
User,

So many things to discuss after your post.

First off, I never said that 1) Bradford wasn't a good QB or weaker than McCoy 2) I think Bradford is a great QB 3) I am basing my opinions on his performances last season. While my opinions may be different than yours, please do not just assume things when I have never said them on here.

Now, moving on. Every QB gets hit in college football games. So, your argument that he got hit a few times when OU played Washington is comical at best. Of course he still played OK, they didn't apply pressure enough. Bradford gets hit every game. It is the games in which constant pressure forced Bradford out of the pocket that has caused him problems in the past.

Now, will he improve on this? Yes. Probably this year, I am basing my opinions on watching him last season (Since they haven't played anyone worth mentioning so far this season). At this time last season, most would never have argued that Bradford couldn't handle a consistent pass rush, because he hadn't been tested. He still has not been tested this year so far either. So, that argument is also invalid.

The main question I have for you (and problem as well) is this: When will you and others stop putting all the blame on coaches? It isn't always Kevin Wilson's fault that the O-Line and offense are not playing like you think they should. The coaches scheme and have a game plan, the players are there to execute the plan. Most of the time, Bradford did great with that. A couple of times last season, he didn't.

Good day and good luck to OU this weekend, should be an easy 20-24 point victory IMO.
WSmith (4 years ago)
Eric, thanks for the lesson in football. I bow to your incredible insights. Here's hoping that loan shark is fresh out of lube.
Eric (4 years ago)
If your an OU fan you need to go to youtube and put in "OU Football 2000" Sure fire way to give you chills!!
JJ (4 years ago)
Gresham had 2 & 3 freaking people covering him the last few weeks. Where he does the most damage is beyond the linebackers. Write it down it is Thursday 10/9/08 this time next week Texas will still be trying to catch him 20 yds down field.
jg78 (4 years ago)
Agree with all but 8/2/ and 1.

8) OU has clearly demonstrated the ability to sit on the ball and play ball control to run the game out. See Wash, Cin and TCU. Completely dumb comment.

2)Can't really recall our Secondary being taken at all this year. If anything, I believe they have played better than any secondary I can remember since Maybe 01 or 02.

1) We have played way better competition that UT. TCU could very well be the best total defense we see all year - book it. Also, I believe Cincy has better skill postion players than UT. So, I believe they tested are secondary far greater than UT will. Cincy had a great scheme and crazy speed. Texas has a phenominal O-line, but Colt is the leading rusher and they don't have a game changer at RB or Receiver.
User Name TBD (4 years ago)
Chris,

I had a HUGE response to your post. But I saved everyone the annoyance of posting it. Suffice it to say, I think you are talking out of both sides of your mouth if you raise questions about OU and Bradford handling the pressure, then say it should be an easy 20-24 point victory. Cheers to you for being that bold, as I can not say that. I'd love to see it, but I think I'd be getting too carried away thinking about it.

Picker's list is crap except for number 5, which is the only thing in my opinion that will keep the game close. I won't begrudge him 7, 6, 4, or 3. Don't agree with them all, but there's evidence on both sides of those arguements. #5 on his list is probably the reason OU is not favored by 10+ by the Vegas boys. The real question in the game will be whether or not UT can keep up on the scoreboard with OU. If OU's punts and kickoff coverage are as bad as they've been, the answer is a big fat YES. If not, 7 points is too low. Game will come down to field position, moreso than any other in the series lately, and not so much to Bradford vs. UT D-Line.

Reason 10 is overrated, 9 is a flat out lie, 8 is ridiculous (see Mizzou, Picker's flavor of the month), 2 is a guess because there's no evidence of this, and 1 should be a factor against UT, as they've played an even weaker sked than OU.
User Name TBD (4 years ago)
10/9/2008 2:21:30 PM WORLD PICKER wrote:
"With the stock market having fallen, everybody certain that OU minus 7 is a sure thing can look forward to a happy windfall in Vegas."

Same goes for UT +7. You only made that pick because it isn't costing you any money. If you were so confident in Texas covering, you would make a better profit than anyone laying OU -7, and you'd be in Vegas yesterday.

You're just full of gas. After your display last week, and if I were bored enough with life to care about your contest, I'd just make sure I reversed you enough times for an easy win. I'll be back here Monday when I get home from Dallas to either feed you some humble pie, or eat that crow cake myself. I'll own up if I'm wrong. Will you? Your reputation says, "NO!"
WSmith (4 years ago)
I've been a fan since 1971 and I must say you're right; the 2000 year, for many reasons, was probably one of the most exciting and gratifying in a long list of fantastic seasons.
World Picker (4 years ago)
User Name: As listed in the ten reasons, this all sets up for a monumental Texas effort. The new Texas defensive coach isn't going to let Bradford sit back there and whistle and look around. OU's chances are pretty much on the qb and defensive genius Venables. Both can rise to the elite level with a win here. Just remember, this isn't the Chatanooga Choochoo.
Robert (4 years ago)
Congrats, Jay. You absolutely nailed it. Every one of the 10 was spot on. But the 1 was not.
World Picker (4 years ago)
Robert, thank you.

The Smithsonian will probably request this primer in handicapping.
25 comments displayed


To post comments on tulsaworld.com, you must be an active Tulsa World print or digital subscriber and signed into your account.


Out Pick The Picker

The Picker began entertaining – and infuriating – sports fans in 1993. Each week during football season, he writes about his picks of college and NFL games in his Thursday Sports column. He's never afraid of sharing his opinions about the game and the personalities who play it. Readers have a chance to go against him each season in the Outpick the Picker contest. He welcomes the competition.

Follow The Picker on Twitter


Subscribe to this blog


Archive

Past Articles By The Picker

1/31/2013
     The Picker: Super Bowl merely a distraction from OU woes
 
The Picker's Blog Archive:

2/2013  1/2013  12/2012  11/2012  10/2012  9/2012  
8/2012  7/2012  6/2012  5/2012  4/2012  3/2012  
2/2012  1/2012  12/2011  11/2011  10/2011  9/2011  
8/2011  7/2011  6/2011  5/2011  4/2011  3/2011  
2/2011  1/2011  12/2010  11/2010  10/2010  9/2010  
8/2010  7/2010  6/2010  5/2010  4/2010  3/2010  
2/2010  1/2010  12/2009  11/2009  10/2009  9/2009  
8/2009  7/2009  6/2009  5/2009  4/2009  3/2009  
2/2009  1/2009  12/2008  11/2008  10/2008  9/2008  
8/2008  7/2008  6/2008  5/2008  4/2008  3/2008  
2/2008  1/2008  12/2007  11/2007  10/2007  9/2007  
8/2007  7/2007  6/2007  5/2007  4/2007  3/2007  
2/2007  1/2007  12/2006  11/2006  10/2006  9/2006  
8/2006  





Home | Contact Us | Search | Subscribe | Customer Service | About | Advertise
Copyright © 2013, World Publishing Co. All rights reserved.