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Recession fears drop oil price to 4 1/2-year low
Low gas prices could also mean a slowdown in the oil and gas industry.
By KYLE ARNOLD World Staff Writer
Published:
12/19/2008 2:26 AM
Last Modified: 12/19/2008 2:39 AM
The latest drop in crude oil prices could have Oklahoma producers scrambling to scale back production.
The cost of oil fell well below $40 a barrel on Thursday to a 4 1/2-year low on fears that the global recession will offset cuts in production.
The January oil futures contract settled down $3.84 at $36.22 Thursday on the New York Mercantile Exchange, more than 75 percent less the commodity's peak in July. And prices have fallen about $7 a barrel since the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries announced Wednesday that it was slashing worldwide oil production by about 2.5 percent.
"There seems to be sentiment that the global economy is slowing," said John Felmy, chief economist with the American Petroleum Institute, an oil industry trade group. "There are reports that indicate the recession is with us and that is reflected in lower demand."
Traders may also be skeptical that OPEC will follow through on its pledge to cut supply, Felmy said.
For Oklahomans, low gasoline prices will be offset by a dramatic slowdown in the oil and gas exploration industry, said Dewey Bartlett Jr., president of Tulsa-based Keener Oil and Gas Co. and chairman of the Oklahoma Energy Resources Board.
"The immediate result will be a sharp decline in the rate of drilling activity. That is not good for the industry, and it's not good for the various businesses that supply parts, labor and equipment to the industry," he said. "It's not good for the state of Oklahoma."
The energy industry has been credited with helping the state outperform the nation and resist the worldwide recession.
Bartlett said he expects producers to start looking into exhausting their least-expensive production options while prices are low.
Very low oil prices may not last long, however.
"I think it's an overreaction, similar to when the price was $140 dollars a barrel," Bartlett said.
For drivers, it could be a few days before the falling oil prices are reflected at the gas pump, said Chuck Mai, spokesman for AAA-Oklahoma.
Most Tulsa-area stations were selling regular unleaded for $1.49 a gallon Thursday. As late as last week, fuel was $1.37 a gallon when crude oil prices were just above $40 a barrel.
"As the economy continues to falter, consumption is also falling on the industrial side and the commercial side," Mai said. "It's not only motorists reducing consumption in their day-to-day lives, it's also businesses driving less."
Kyle Arnold 581-8380
kyle.arnold@tulsaworld.com
By KYLE ARNOLD World Staff Writer
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Travis
, Tahlequah (12/19/2008 7:21:33 AM)
Warning: Due to lower worldwide oil consumption and the resulting decline in CO2 output please be prepared for the onset of man made global cooling.
Report Comment
jlw
, Canadian (12/19/2008 8:21:56 AM)
Look you dipsticks, we already told you we ain't paying $4 a gallon no more, you can cut all the production you want.
Report Comment
grizz
, tulsa (12/19/2008 8:27:37 AM)
A 4 1/2 year low, but gas prices have risen twice this week?
Report Comment
Trinity
, Tulsa (12/19/2008 10:02:54 AM)
Excellent post, Travis! And Grizz points out the new low for gas yet it rose this week.
Go figure.
Report Comment
justiceawaits
, (12/19/2008 10:31:07 AM)
Quick trip raises the price of gas as Oil continues to drop.The Oil companies are going to cut back on exploration and drilling to drive the price of oil back up.Can You say Monopoly???This injustice is the result of more of Bush`s moronic policies.Let`s let the oil companies merge.Conoco-Phillips,Exon-Mobile etc. And now they are letting the banks buy each other out.While they placed new rules on credit cards, they won`t go into effect for over a year.Plenty of time to change their minds and back out.All the while the Government takes 800 billion of our tax dollars to spend on one thing, and then (Bait and Switch) the Bush controlled fed spends it on something completely different.What is next.Is Bush going to try to declare a national emergengy and invalidate the elections and proclaim himself (king George for life).When is enough enough? I just hope Obamah and biden have enough sense to clean house after Jan. 20th and we don`t get more of the same.
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God Bless our Troops
, (12/19/2008 10:49:23 AM)
I suppose that is what happens when the oil companies get so greedy for so long and make people pay $4 a gallon for gas. They only aided an already failing economy in the United States, which in turn put the rest of the world into a recession too and now its catching up to them.
Never in my life have I had mixed emotions about lower gas prices though. My husband works at a Pipeline Company and they are already feeling the crunch of oil prices bottoming out. They are not getting nearly the work they had in the middle of this year. So which one is better, $4 gas and work, or $1.50 gas an no work?
Report Comment
AnotherActivist
, Tulsa (12/19/2008 10:57:28 AM)
The policy of setting gas prices have always confused me. From $4 to $1.50, it makes no sense to me. I don't know how long it will last and I too am not sure how to feel about it. If gas is high, we may finally get alternatives, but if gas is low, I can buy groceries and perhaps pay my utilities...
Report Comment
jhill
, Tulsa (12/19/2008 11:02:08 AM)
Gas is low right now — but don't try to take that to the bank.
During this past year we've seen just how volatile prices can be — and how the prices seem to fluctuate independently, unrelated to any other discernible factor.
I don't feel any more secure now than I did when gas was at $4.
Report Comment
Angry Citizen!
, Bluejacket (12/19/2008 11:36:45 AM)
All commodities, except metals, have lost most of their value..... Where has the investment gone and why?
Report Comment
ajohnb
, Jenks (12/19/2008 4:38:15 PM)
Justiceawaits... you are the moronic one here.
Everyone likes to blame Bush for the price going up so high.
Thank you George for getting the price down. I appreciate the job you did for the Americans.
After Jan 20 you will have more of the same because all of the Democrats that approved of everything Bush did, including going to war, are still in office. When are you morons going to realize that the President, no matter which party, cannot do anymore that what Congress allows him to do.
I look forward to the next 4 years of blaming EVERYTHING on Obama. Cuz, if the troops are not out of Iraq on Jan 21, it will be his fault. He said he will withdraw them. Sound idiotic? Thats what you have sounded like for the past 8 years.
Report Comment
Jason L.
, Tulsa (12/19/2008 11:30:09 PM)
Right now is a good time to invest in a gas bank. Five years from now you can get gas for what you paid in '08.
Report Comment
noveds
, (12/20/2008 12:32:25 AM)
The President was to blame when gas was $4, he opens off-shore drilling and the price starts to drop. No credit. I realize the global slowdown has a hand in this but probably not as big as some want it to.
If OPEC wants to cut production to jack prices, we need to increase domestic production to counter it. We have the oil, we just need to go after it. More jobs, more oil, cheap gas.
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noveds
, (12/20/2008 12:39:19 AM)
A point I forgot to make: How sweet is it that Russia, Venezuela and Iran are now in financial trouble because of the low price of oil? One more reason to increase domestic production.
Report Comment
bret michaels
, (12/20/2008 12:54:42 AM)
surely if we begin to produce enough oil, we will be in on OPEC production guidelines. After all, oil and gas is private industry and private industries exist in the US to turn a profit.....
Report Comment
Tulsaboyw
, tulsa (12/20/2008 10:35:33 PM)
The problemn with us producing more is the government itself blocks a lot of the owned leases from being done... and even the recent loosening of drilling offshore was not enough because most of the oil is further in than allowed.
Bigest problem with both the financial problems (ie; the mortgage meltdown) and the energy problems is more about governemnt blocking or hindering everything.
Blame the politicians the most.
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